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Campaign Notebook: Altschuler Leads in Super PAC Poll

Latest poll funded by Prosperity First shows Republican candidate up three percentage points.

In the latest poll released in the race for New York's First Congressional District seat, a survey funded by Prosperity First — a conservative super PAC — shows Republican challenger Randy Altschuler three points ahead of Rep. Tim Bishop.

The results of the survey were released on Saturday, showing that 49 percent of the 400 individuals polled would vote for Altschuler, compared to 46 percent for Bishop, as the two face off in a rematch of the 2010 election. Two years ago, Bishop defeated Altschuler by 593 votes out of nearly 200,000 ballots cast.

Of those polled, 39 percent said they were registered as Republicans, and 30 percent Democrats; 18 percent claimed no political affiliation. Pollsters Fabrizio, McLaughlin & Associates, Inc. said the margin of error in the poll was 4.9 percent.

In recent months, both Bishop and Altschuler have claimed success in separate polls. Most recently, a Siena Poll released in mid-September showed Bishop up 13 points — however a poll released by Siena University in 2010 showed the Democrat up 12 percentage points in a race that ended up being decided by less than half a percent.

The two sides each released polls in July as well; a poll by Democratic firm Garin Heart Young showed Bishop up 56 to 32 percent, while the Altschuler camp released a poll five days later showing their candidate with a four-point lead.

“Make no mistake, this will be a close race," said a Bishop spokesman in a statement following the last poll.

Saturday's poll was just the latest in a frenzy of investments — from both inside and outside the district — made to win the seat. Prosperity First's largest donor, Setauket hedge fund manager Robert Mercer, has donated $500,000 to the super PAC. Meanwhile, according to a Newsday article, the Communication Workers of America's super PAC has spent more than $200,000 in recent ads supporting Bishop while the House Majority PAC has spent over $300,000.

According to Newsday, $2.25 million has been spent in this year's race so far compared to $1.08 million last year.

Laura Jean October 15, 2012 at 01:35 PM
I would like to ask Mr. Altschuler how many jobs he has actually created here on Long Island. I have not been able to get a response from his campaign office and all I can find is his company in Georgia. I think if he is putting himself forward as a Long Island businessman, it is a fair question to ask where on Long Island and what jobs here that he has created.
janet kent October 15, 2012 at 08:25 PM
Well said Preliator and Jag-Guy! Thanks....
Jaguar-Guy October 15, 2012 at 09:24 PM
About 1000 with Office Tiger and 680 with Cloud Blue - I believe.
Jaguar-Guy October 15, 2012 at 09:26 PM
When, WHEN will Tim Bishop run his first positive ad. No mention of Randy, just his accomplishments please. What a joke - how do you campaign and run for office if you don't tell us what you've done for us. All that bloated windbag does is attack Randy for running a business years ago. He REFUSES to inform us of all his fabulous and glorious achievements !!
Jaguar-Guy October 15, 2012 at 09:57 PM
I've asked the same of Tim Bishop's office who cannot point me to ANY jobs he created.

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